China's Port Development and Shipping Competition in East Asia
By Nazery Khalid
[ China and East Asia are experiencing a harbour construction boom as the region gains a position of ascendance in global trade. Nazery Khalid - Research Fellow, Center for Economic Studies and Ocean Industries. Maritime Institute of Malaysia – reports that 7 of the world’s 20 busiest terminals are in China. The port to watch is Shanghai, which is poised to overtake its main rivals (Hong Kong and Singapore). In 2005, Shanghai handled 443 million tons of cargo in total and 18.09 million twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) of containers, an increase of 24.2 percent compared with the previous year (Hong Kong handled 23.2 million TEUs and Singapore 22.43 TEUs). The Shanghai region is expected to handle 35 million TEUs of container traffic by 2010. This is because the port of Ningbo will continue its own frenetic expansion of capacity as well as install the world’s longest bridge (the US$ 1.4 billion Hangzhou Bay Bridge) to cut the travel time to Shanghai to two hours. In addition, Shanghai is adding a deepwater facility in nearby Yangshan and working out deals with other North China ports to provide international service for them.
Clearly at work in the above example are the economies of scale in the midst of massive growth. Development in China is also clustering in defined areas, which further enhances efficiencies through the phenomenon of agglomeration economies (e.g. the efficiencies gained by firms being in close proximity). The result is that exports and fixed investments in China are expanding at a combined rate of 25 percent per year, according to Morgan Stanley’s latest data.
One of the implications of that macro-economic statistic and China’s cost advantages is that ports elsewhere in the Asian region face a ferocious competitive challenge. Seven of the world’s other busiest terminals are in non-China Asia, so the juggernaut in their collective neighbourhood is not merely something to marvel at from afar. For example, the South Koreans are worried about the competition. The port of Busan (11.84 million TEUs in 2005), the 5 th largest in the world, plans to roughly double its existing capacity by 2011. But with studies suggesting that Shanghai’s overall expansion could capture nearly a third of Busan’s business, the Koreans are frantically emphasizing efficiency and competitive pricing in their projections.
For its part, Singapore has adopted a strategy of trying to maintain its position by cooperating with China’s rapidly growing ports. Singapore’s port authority emphasizes business opportunities through providing specialized services in port operations as well as in building strategic alliances. Whether this kind of strategy works over the long term remains to be seen. But it is further evidence that the “ China factor” – as Khalid refers to the country’s mushrooming presence – is something all countries in the region are compelled to confront even as intra-Asian trade spirals. AD]
China 's maritime sector is growing from strength to strength. From securing a 5.5% share of world fleet (in DWT terms) in early 2004, it increased its share to 6.77% in early 2005 and has continued its surge subsequently. Maritime infrastructure in China continues to be developed at a breakneck pace in step with ever-increasing trade. Its ports are continuously expanding and engaging in strategic alliances to widen their connectivity. Underlining this tremendous growth, seven Chinese ports are in the list of the world's top 20 container terminals. Mainland China-based COSCO and China Shipping are two of the world's top ten container service operators in terms of fleet size and total shipboard capacity (TEUs).
China 's maritime intent is highlighted by the focus on maritime infrastructure development in its 11th Five-Year Development Plan. This plan, impressive in its scope and its long-term perspective, outlines the creation of two new port clusters in Fujian and Hainan, in addition to existing ones in Shanghai, Tianjin and Shenzhen. The plan is part of the effort to complement the national aspiration to enhance development by facilitating international trade.
Such relentless efforts underscore China's seriousness about upgrading its transport networks and infrastructure to match its economic growth. China’s three biggest ports in Shanghai, Tianjin and Shenzhen are already among the world's largest, and can be expected to soar further up the list of major maritime powerhouses.
China ’s maritime strengths and port development reflect the fact that a majority of its international trade is seaborne. China has been ranked as the world’s third largest trading country and fourth most important maritime state on the basis of the size of its merchant fleet and its 6.77% contribution to the world’s total tonnage (U.S.-China Business Council Report, November 20, 2005). At the end of 2004, it commanded a 6.2% share of world trade generated in terms of value (UNCTAD, Review of Maritime Transport, 2005).
The explosion in its international trade has spurred China’s planners to accelerate the expansion of port capacity to support trade and container traffic growth. Today, as a result of the economic boom across Asia, galvanized by growing trade with China, 14 of the world’s top 20 container terminals are Asian-based. Seven of these terminals are located in China, underlining the rapid growth of its trade and economy and its growing clout as a maritime power (UNCTAD, 2005).
The growth of Chinese ports has displaced established ports like Kobe and Yokohama from the list of the world’s top twenty. Moreover, even Hong Kong, the world’s busiest port since 1992 and a beneficiary of the China boom, has been growing at a lower rate than Shanghai and Shenzhen, which experienced increased throughput more than threefold from 1999 to 2004.
Leading the growth of Chinese ports is Ningbo, which notched the highest percentage gain in 2004. The port has been growing at an astounding average growth in TEU  traffic rate of 44% for the last six years (China Business Review, 2005). Shanghai is projected to be the biggest hub port in East Asia and to serve as China’s distribution and logistics services base for global trade. The concentration of cargo base and increasing foreign direct investment (FDI) has resulted in Shanghai outpacing other areas. It is projected to handle a capacity of 25 million TEUs by 2010, double the volume handled in 2004 (China Daily, February 25, 2004).
Besides container ports, other types of terminals are being commissioned to facilitate China’s emerging energy needs and growing demand for bulk commodities like iron ore and grains. The largest Chinese facility to unload Very Large Crude Carrier (VLCC) vessels is being constructed in Dalian, equipped to serve six refineries with a total capacity of 46 million tons (UNCTAD, 2005).
The formation of economic clusters of regions has contributed to the development of Chinese ports. The economic regions include Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta, Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei circle, the west region, central China region and northeast industrial region.
As more manufacturing industries move from the south to the eastern and northern regions, infrastructure development has intensified. With the concentration of manufacturing activities in the Yangzi River corridor, the need to improve the connectivity between central China and its coastal ports becomes more critical. With the opening of the Three Gorges Dam (projected by 2009), container movement is expected to intensify in the area. River transportation and river ports are also receiving priority in infrastructure development to meet China’s growing trade.
The booming Chinese economy has led to increasing container volumes going in and out of China, resulting in the increase of feeder services bringing in cargo from industrial centers and small, less accessible ports along the Yangtze River to main ports, where it is consolidated for loading on mainline carriers. This is underlined by the construction of the 3-million TEU capacity Yangshan Port aimed at facilitating spare capacity for the predicted traffic growth in the Yangzi River Delta (UNCTAD, 2005).
Yangshan New City
China and Southeast Asia
Reflecting ever-growing inter-regional trade, containerized trade between China and Southeast Asian countries is expected to grow across the board this year. In 2004, bilateral trade volume reached US$105.9 billion, thensoared to US$130.4 billion in 2005, a 23 percent increase. Yi Xiaozhun, a Commerce Ministry Vice Minister said ASEAN became the fifth largest export market for China and the fourth largest source for imports in 2005, partly due to tariff reductions on approximately 7,000 categories of goods. Chinese President Hu Jintao set a $200 billion target by 2010 during a visit to Southeast Asia last April. Regional ports such as Singapore, Port Klang and Tanjung Pelepas have benefited from the flourishing China trade.
Chinese ports have also engaged in strategic alliances with foreign port management companies. Dalian has entered into a strategic partnership with APM Terminals, Cosco Pacific and Port of Singapore Authority to develop the port to serve the northern regions of China. Xiamen Port Authority has also signed an agreement with APM Terminals to finance the development of a new three-berth terminal estimated to cost US$350 million in the south.
Singapore is aggressively moving into China via PSA International's operations in the ports of namely in Dalian, Fuzhou and Guangzhou. Its involvement in these ports has enhanced their average speed of berthing, onsite facilities, turnaround time, frequency of liner calls and overall efficiency and management. Underlining the positive impacts of this strategic alliance, PSA China secured Best Emerging Container Terminal award for Guangzhou Container Terminal at the Lloyd’s List Maritime Asia Awards in 2004.
In addition to PSA's initiative, Maritime Port Authority of Singapore has been in the forefront of capturing business from growth markets such as China via strategic alliances. In May 2004, Singapore and China signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) on Maritime Cooperation, paving the way for cooperation in areas such as port management and development, shipping, training and R&D. The two countries also signed a protocol to allow their shipping companies to set up wholly-owned subsidiaries on each other’s turf without hindrances.
Energized by strong performance in trade with China, ports in the ASEAN region have also expanded and improved not only in terms of infrastructure and sophisticated equipment but also in their functions and business activities. Many have added and improved value added logistics and ancillary services to gain a competitive edge to attract cargo from and to facilitate exports to China. With ever-increasing international maritime container cargo movement in and out of China and the deployment of ever-larger container ships to accommodate this, several key hub ports in the region have upgraded their facilities and built new ones.
An example is the new port city in Zhangjiagang which, in the last few decades, has seen tremendous development around its port. The port acts as a multifunctional trade harbor servicing the city and industries along the Yangtze River. Part of the larger Suzhou Port organization, Zhangjiagang Port has 40 berths with 10,000-ton-class capability and handles 40 million tons annually (UNCTAD, 2005). If it meets the expectation of being able to handle 1 million TEU or equivalent to 100 million tons by 2010, it will become the first port to reach that capacity in Jiangsu Province (Asia Pacific Shipping, August 2005).
The influence of the “ China factor” on the development of ports—a crucial facilitator of international trade—has been momentous and looks set to color the ports scene in the years ahead. The consequence of the impact for ports in the SEA region include advances in shipping technology and practices, concentration of resources and processes, and door-to-door delivery stretching across the supply chain . Larger and more advanced ships are being built, requiring ports that are able to match their features with the capacity and skills to facilitate their calling. The spate of mergers and alliances among shipping economies to achieve economies of scale will continue to accelerate demand for infrastructure and manpower to cater to bigger ships with larger loads. Just-in-time production and the increasing pressure to deliver more goods at lower cost and shorter time to wider market areas have spurred the development of multimodal transport, facilitating the seamless movement of goods. These have been critical to the planning, organization, development, management and operation of seaports in the region.
Challenges for ASEAN
Challenges abound for port planners in the Southeast Asian region to plan port development, enhance infrastructure, keep up with state-of-the-art technologies, increase productivity, organize operations efficiently, and allocate resources effectively to take advantage of greater Chinese maritime trade volume. In light of the growing trade between the ASEAN region and China, and the projected growth boosted by the FTA between the two, regional ports keen to capitalize on growing cargo volume will seek to enhance their capacity and competitiveness to attract mainline operators and process ever-growing throughput.
- Twenty-foot Equivalent Unit (TEU) is the standard measure of counting containers.
- 2. Nazery Khalid, “The Impact of Cargo Trends on Terminal Developments in Asia.” Paper presented at the 3rd ASEAN Ports and Shipping Conference 2005, Surabaya, September 22, 2005 (Available here).
Nazery Khalid is a Research Fellow at the Maritime Institute of Malaysia. This is a revised and expanded version of an article that appeared in China Brief, March 29, 2006. Posted on Japan Focus, May 15, 2006.